Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pro Sesto vs Inveruno

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Pastore M.
51' Event
Lillo S.
75' Event
Bettoni S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Inveruno advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pro Sesto
15%
Draws
26%
Inveruno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Inveruno haven't matched Pro Sesto's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pro Sesto's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Pro Sesto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pro Sesto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 20%
Inveruno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Inveruno
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 14 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.95
Goals Conceded 1 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Inveruno vs Pro Sesto
0:0
Oct 30, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Inveruno
4:2
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pro Sesto vs Inveruno
1:2
Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Inveruno vs Pro Sesto
3:1
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Inveruno
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bettoni S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Inveruno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastore M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lillo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 76 / 100
Inveruno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Inveruno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inveruno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pro Sesto scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

Inveruno

(Away)
16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2
Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
NibionnOggiono
1 : 1
Inveruno
02 Feb
Inveruno
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
26 Jan
Levico Terme
1 : 0
Inveruno
19 Jan
Inveruno
0 : 3
Legnano
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mantova 3
Ciliverghe Mazzano 4
Folgore Caratese 2
Caravaggio 0
Seregno Calcio 4
Casale 1
Crema 1
Fanfulla 0
Montebelluna 2
Union Feltre 3
Villafranca 2
Virtus Bolzano 1
Chions 0
Campodarsego 3
Mestre 0
Adriese 1
Grassina 2
Scandicci 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Monterosi 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Grosseto 1
FC Ponsacco 4
Tuttocuoio 2
Pro Sesto 1
Inveruno 2
Brusaporto 2
Villa Valle 1
AC Chieri 3
Ligorna 0
Sanremese 1
Savona 0
Avezzano 0
Pineto 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Ostiamare 1
Lanusei Calcio 0
Sassari Torres 2
Aprilia 1
Vis Artena 0
US Tolentino 3
Cannara 1
Sangiustese 1
Montegiorgio 2
Mezzolara 1
Vigor Carpaneto 0
Savignanese 2
Matelica 1
Roma City 1
Portici 1906 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Fidelis Andria 0
Francavilla 0
Citta di Fasano 2
Taranto 2
Audace Cerignola 0
FC Messina 2
Cittanovese 0
Marsala 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Vastogirardi 1
Turris 2
Sorrento 1
1/16-finals
Ciliverghe Mazzano 1
Folgore Caratese 2
Seregno Calcio 2
Crema 1
Union Feltre 2
Villafranca 0
Campodarsego 2
Adriese 1
Grassina 1
San Donato Tavarnelle 3
Seravezza Pozzi 2
FC Ponsacco 0
Inveruno 3
Brusaporto 2
AC Chieri 0
Sanremese 3
Pineto 1
Ostiamare 0
Sassari Torres 3
Aprilia 0
US Tolentino 2
Montegiorgio 0
Mezzolara 2
Savignanese 1
Portici 1906 0
A.C. Savoia 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Taranto 2
FC Messina 0
AS Acireale 2
Foggia 3
Turris 1
1/8-finals
Folgore Caratese 3
Seregno Calcio 2
Union Feltre 3
Campodarsego 0
San Donato Tavarnelle 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Inveruno 2
Sanremese 3
Pineto 4
Sassari Torres 3
US Tolentino 4
Mezzolara 2
A.C. Savoia 0
Citta di Fasano 1
AS Acireale 0
Foggia 3
Quarter-finals
Folgore Caratese 2
Union Feltre 1
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Sanremese 2
Pineto 1
US Tolentino 2
Citta di Fasano 2
Foggia 1
Semi-finals
Folgore Caratese 6
Sanremese 0
US Tolentino 1
Citta di Fasano 5
Final
Folgore Caratese -
Citta di Fasano -