Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Pro Sesto and Pistoiese finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pistoiese come out ahead of Pro Sesto on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 16%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto
0:2
Feb 21, 2021 Serie C - Group A
Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese
2:2
Oct 25, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto
1:2
Apr 7, 2007 Lega Pro C1/A
Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Sesto 31 / 100
Pistoiese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Sesto Pistoiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Sesto found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Pistoiese conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Pro Sesto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pro Sesto VS Pistoiese
0.63 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Sesto
(Home) 06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0 Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0 Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1 Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0 Tuttocuoio
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0 Pistoiese
29 Mar
Pro Sesto
2 : 4 Imolese
15 Mar
Pro Sesto
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 3
Pistoiese
(Away) 06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Siena
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0 Pistoiese
29 Mar
Sant'Angelo
1 : 3 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
