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Stadium Background

Pro Sesto vs Trevigliese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Rubagotti F.
17' Event
Maspero A.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Stefanoni D.

AI Match Summary

Pro Sesto in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Sesto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Pro Sesto
20%
Draws
15%
Trevigliese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pro Sesto lately — more wins on the board than Trevigliese.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Pro Sesto taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Sesto Trevigliese
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Trevigliese
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Pro Sesto
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanoni D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banse A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Sesto 95 / 100
Trevigliese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Sesto Trevigliese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pro Sesto's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pro Sesto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Sesto VS Trevigliese
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.29
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Sesto

(Home)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

Trevigliese

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)