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Stadium Background

Vastese vs Gela

Italy Italy

Serie C2/C 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/C 2006/2007 game between Vastese and Gela finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vastese
20%
Draws
20%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vastese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gela come out ahead of Vastese on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Vastese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gela here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Vastese Clean Sheet 20%
Gela Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vastese Gela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2007 Serie C2/C
Vastese vs Gela
0:1
Dec 10, 2006 Serie C2/C
Gela vs Vastese
2:1
Feb 13, 2005 Serie C2/C
Gela vs Vastese
0:0
Oct 10, 2004 Serie C2/C
Vastese vs Gela
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vastese 40 / 100
Gela 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vastese Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vastese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gela has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Vastese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Gela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vastese VS Gela
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vastese

(Home)
11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0
Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2
Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1
Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0
Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Vastese
Page 1 of 6

Gela

(Away)
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0
Gela
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1
Gela
12 Apr
Gela
0 : 0
Reggina
02 Apr
Nissa
1 : 0
Gela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 17 13 4 48:26 64
2 Benevento 34 17 12 5 42:21 63
3 Potenza 34 16 6 12 37:32 54
4 Gela 34 16 6 12 29:31 54
5 Monopoli 34 14 11 9 42:35 53
6 Lamezia 34 14 10 10 35:24 52
7 Val Di Sangro 34 14 10 10 39:36 52
8 Fidelis Andria 34 12 13 9 30:31 49
9 Catanzaro 34 11 12 11 34:27 45
10 Progreditur Marcianise 34 12 8 14 48:47 44
11 Igea Virtus 34 8 17 9 35:35 41
12 Vibonese 34 10 11 13 42:45 41
13 Cassino 34 11 8 15 39:42 41
14 Celano 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Melfi 34 10 8 16 27:43 38
16 Nocerina 34 10 7 17 31:38 37
17 Vastese 34 8 7 19 23:42 31
18 Rende 34 7 9 18 35:54 30
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/B 2007/2008 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2006/2007 (Play Offs)