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Pro Vercelli vs Carpi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ronchi N.
16' Event
Bertoli M.
51'
Figoli M.

AI Match Summary

Pro Vercelli in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Vercelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pro Vercelli
35%
Draws
19%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pro Vercelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Carpi haven't matched Pro Vercelli's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pro Vercelli's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 12%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Carpi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Carpi
2:0
Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Carpi vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
Nov 6, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Vercelli vs Carpi
1:0
Mar 19, 2018 Serie B
Carpi vs Pro Vercelli
2:0
Oct 21, 2017 Serie B
Pro Vercelli vs Carpi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertoli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coccolo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 47 / 100
Carpi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Vercelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carpi conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Pro Vercelli found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Pro Vercelli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Carpi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Vercelli

(Home)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Carpi

(Away)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)