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Pro Vercelli vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Burruano A.
11'
Sub
Ciammaglichella A. In: el Bakkali Z.
Out: Ciammaglichella A.
19'
Samotti N.

AI Match Summary

Pro Vercelli in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Vercelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pro Vercelli
35%
Draws
19%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pro Vercelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Pro Vercelli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Folgore Caratese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Burruano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Folgore Caratese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 41 / 100
Folgore Caratese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Vercelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Vercelli found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Pro Vercelli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Folgore Caratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Folgore Caratese
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Vercelli

(Home)
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0
Pro Vercelli
23 Aug
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Pergolettese
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Folgore Caratese
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Union Brescia 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Ospitaletto 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 Dolomiti Bellunesi 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Juventus U23 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
6 Carpi 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
7 Alcione Milano 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 AlbinoLeffe 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 Trento 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
10 Arzignano 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 Treviso 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 Lumezzane 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Desenzano Calvina 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Folgore Caratese 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 Novara 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Pro Vercelli 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Lecco 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
18 Pergolettese 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
19 Giana Erminio 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
20 Renate 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)