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Pro Vercelli vs Lumezzane

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Paghera F.
31'
Rolando M.
46'
Sub
Mancini S. In: Ferro M.
Out: Mancini S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pro Vercelli
30%
Draws
47%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lumezzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lumezzane have won more games recently than Pro Vercelli.
  • Lumezzane are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 23%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Lumezzane
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Lumezzane
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli
3:1
Jan 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Lumezzane
3:3
Sep 1, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli
0:2
Jan 8, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Carosso A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Deratti J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 24 / 100
Lumezzane 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumezzane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Pro Vercelli's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lumezzane let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Pro Vercelli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Lumezzane
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Vercelli

(Home)
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Lumezzane

(Away)
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)