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Pro Vercelli vs Novara

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Akpa Akpro J.
25'
Iotti I.
33'
Sub
Dell'Erba D. In: Agyemang G.
Out: Dell'Erba D.

AI Match Summary

Pro Vercelli in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Vercelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pro Vercelli
44%
Draws
20%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Novara haven't matched Pro Vercelli's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 15%
Novara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Novara
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Novara
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Pro Vercelli
0:1
Feb 3, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Novara
1:0
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Pro Vercelli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpa Akpro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Novara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 35 / 100
Novara 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Vercelli's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Novara let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Novara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Novara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Vercelli

(Home)
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Ospitaletto
13 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 7

Novara

(Away)
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1
Inter U23
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2
Novara
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1
Cittadella
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1
Novara
03 Apr
Novara
1 : 3
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)