Sport Picks
Pro Vercelli vs Novara
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli 
Match Events
18'
18'
Akpa Akpro J.
25'
25'
Iotti I.
33'
33'
Sub
Dell'Erba D. In: Agyemang G.
Out: Dell'Erba D.
AI Match Summary
Pro Vercelli in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Vercelli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pro Vercelli haven't matched Novara's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 15%
Novara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pro Vercelli | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Novara
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Pro Vercelli
0:1
Feb 3, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Novara
1:0
Sep 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Pro Vercelli
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pro Vercelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Akpa Akpro J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Novara Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pro Vercelli 31 / 100
Novara 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pro Vercelli Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Vercelli's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Novara let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Pro Vercelli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pro Vercelli VS Novara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pro Vercelli
(Home) 26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1 Pro Vercelli
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3 Pro Vercelli
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0 Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Ospitaletto
13 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Ospitaletto
04 Apr
Pro Vercelli
0 : 2 Inter U23
21 Mar
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1 Lumezzane
07 Mar
Pro Vercelli
0 : 2 Cittadella
22 Feb
Pro Vercelli
1 : 3 Trento
Page 1 of 3
Novara
(Away) 01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Novara
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1 Inter U23
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Novara
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1 Novara
28 Mar
Renate
3 : 1 Novara
15 Mar
Lecco
0 : 0 Novara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
