Sport Picks
Probiy Horodenka vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
Match Events
16'
16'
Kharuk R.
20'
20'
Kyslenko S.
56'
56'
Sub
Khakhlyov O. In: Kovalyuk R.
Out: Khakhlyov O.
AI Match Summary
Fenix Mariupol in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix Mariupol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenix Mariupol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Probiy Horodenka haven't matched Fenix Mariupol's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fenix Mariupol's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Probiy Horodenka | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Fenix Mariupol
0:2
May 17, 2026 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Probiy Horodenka
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Fenix Mariupol
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Probiy Horodenka Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Top Goalscorer Kyslenko S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grytsak N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Probiy Horodenka 10 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Probiy Horodenka Fenix Mariupol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Probiy Horodenka scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Fenix Mariupol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 0.67 goals as a typical output.
Probiy Horodenka went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Probiy Horodenka VS Fenix Mariupol
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Probiy Horodenka
(Home) 04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3 Victoria
09 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1 FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 3
Fenix Mariupol
(Away) 05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6 Fenix Mariupol
31 Jul
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
