Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotyv Kyiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mordas B.
58' Event
Myakushko S.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Probiy Horodenka and Lokomotyv Kyiv finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotyv Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Probiy Horodenka
15%
Draws
65%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Lokomotyv Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotyv Kyiv taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 11%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Probiy Horodenka Lokomotyv Kyiv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
0:2
Aug 21, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Mordas B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myakushko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Probiy Horodenka 10 / 100
Lokomotyv Kyiv 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Probiy Horodenka Lokomotyv Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotyv Kyiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Probiy Horodenka found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lokomotyv Kyiv conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Probiy Horodenka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Probiy Horodenka VS Lokomotyv Kyiv
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Probiy Horodenka

(Home)
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Away)
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3
Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0
Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)