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Probiy Horodenka vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Probiy Horodenka host SC Poltava in the Persha Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. SC Poltava have shipped 1.82 goals a game lately, while Probiy Horodenka have conceded 1.83 and scored 0.93. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 1.94) point toward Probiy Horodenka. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Probiy Horodenka
15%
Draws
59%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Poltava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Probiy Horodenka come out ahead of SC Poltava on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SC Poltava's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Probiy Horodenka SC Poltava
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Probiy Horodenka 14 / 100
SC Poltava 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Probiy Horodenka SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Poltava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Poltava has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Probiy Horodenka found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Probiy Horodenka stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: SC Poltava has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Probiy Horodenka VS SC Poltava
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Probiy Horodenka

(Home)
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

SC Poltava

(Away)
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 10 6 2 2 12:6 20
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
8 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
9 Metalist Kharkiv 10 4 2 4 11:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
16 Probiy Horodenka 10 1 2 7 8:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)