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Probiy Horodenka vs Victoria

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kulish M.
21'
Khamelyuk V.
39' Event
Ulyanov D.

AI Match Summary

Victoria in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Probiy Horodenka
15%
Draws
85%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Probiy Horodenka haven't matched Victoria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Victoria a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Probiy Horodenka have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
Victoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Probiy Horodenka Victoria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Victoria
0:3
May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
Victoria vs Probiy Horodenka
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Victoria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulyanov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chernov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Probiy Horodenka 10 / 100
Victoria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Probiy Horodenka Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Victoria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Probiy Horodenka's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Probiy Horodenka VS Victoria
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Probiy Horodenka

(Home)
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
05 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
6 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3
Victoria
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Victoria

(Away)
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3
Victoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 SC Poltava 8 4 3 1 12:3 15
3 Oleksandriya 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Kulikiv 8 4 2 2 17:8 14
5 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
7 Fenix Mariupol 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Inhulets 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
9 Metalist Kharkiv 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
10 UCSA 8 2 3 3 12:14 9
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 8 3 0 5 8:15 9
12 Nyva Ternopil 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
13 Lokomotyv Kyiv 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
14 FC Chernihiv 7 1 4 2 8:9 7
15 Zhytomyr 2 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
16 Probiy Horodenka 8 0 2 6 6:24 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)