Sport Picks
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Progres Niedercorn in this Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jeunesse Esch lately — more wins on the board than Progres Niedercorn.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Jeunesse Esch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 14%
Jeunesse Esch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progres Niedercorn | Jeunesse Esch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
2:1
May 17, 2026 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niedercorn
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 BGL Ligue
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Progres Niedercorn vs Jeunesse Esch
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Jeunesse Esch vs Progres Niedercorn
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progres Niedercorn 30 / 100
Jeunesse Esch 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progres Niedercorn Jeunesse Esch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jeunesse Esch let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.
Attacking prowess: Progres Niedercorn scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Progres Niedercorn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Progres Niedercorn VS Jeunesse Esch
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Progres Niedercorn
(Home) 06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1 UNA Strassen
16 Aug
Bissen
0 : 4 Progres Niedercorn
09 Aug
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0 Rumelange
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1 UNA Strassen
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
1 : 1 Virton
22 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 5 APM Metz
Page 1 of 4
Jeunesse Esch
(Away) 06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1 Wiltz
30 Aug
Rumelange
2 : 5 Jeunesse Esch
23 Aug
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 3 Mondorf
16 Aug
UNA Strassen
1 : 0 Jeunesse Esch
09 Aug
Jeunesse Esch
0 : 2 Bissen
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Rumelange
2 : 5 Jeunesse Esch
16 Aug
UNA Strassen
1 : 0 Jeunesse Esch
01 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 1 Jeunesse Esch
25 Jul
Berdenia Berbourg
2 : 4 Jeunesse Esch
15 Jul
FC Residence Walferdange
3 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1
