Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progres Niedercorn vs Thionville

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Tubio K.
22' Event
Diarra B.
63' Event
Tubio K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Progres Niedercorn and Thionville finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thionville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Progres Niedercorn
30%
Draws
37%
Thionville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thionville come out ahead of Progres Niedercorn on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Progres Niedercorn taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 20%
Thionville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progres Niedercorn Thionville
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Progres Niedercorn vs Thionville
0:5
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Thionville vs Progres Niedercorn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Tubio K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Diarra B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progres Niedercorn 58 / 100
Thionville 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progres Niedercorn Thionville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Progres Niedercorn found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Thionville has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Progres Niedercorn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progres Niedercorn VS Thionville
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progres Niedercorn

(Home)
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
22 Aug
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 1
UNA Strassen
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Thionville

(Away)
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Thionville
1 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2
Thionville
14 Aug
Thionville
4 : 3
Caen
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