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Thionville

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Progres Niedercorn play Thionville in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Progres Niedercorn averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Thionville averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Progres Niedercorn won 0, Thionville won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 19, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Progres Niedercorn and 1.56 for Thionville. This points to a Thionville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Progres Niedercorn

22%

Draws

51%

Thionville

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Progres Niedercorn picked up more points recently compared to Thionville.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 15%

Thionville Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Progres Niedercorn	Thionville
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	17
Draws	7	6
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	1.21	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly

Thionville vs Progres Niedercorn

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progres Niedercorn 27 / 100

Thionville 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Progres Niedercorn Thionville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thionville or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Progres Niedercorn attacking → ← attacking Thionville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Thionville let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Progres Niedercorn went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Thionville lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 57

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

Progres Niedercorn vs Thionville

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