Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresso vs Bare

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Maicon Marinho
(Penalty)
39' Event
Matheus Santos
42' Event
Maicon Marinho

AI Match Summary

Bare in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Progresso
15%
Draws
51%
Bare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bare have won more games recently than Progresso.
  • Win probability leans Bare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Bare have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
Bare Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso Bare
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.61 1.55
Goals Conceded 3.81 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Roraimense
Bare vs Progresso
4:0
Mar 26, 2025 Roraimense
Progresso vs Bare
0:7
Apr 15, 2023 Roraimense
Bare vs Progresso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bare Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Santos
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maicon Marinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso 10 / 100
Bare 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso Bare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Progresso scored in 29% of their last 31 games.

Bare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Progresso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresso VS Bare
1 Goals Scored 2
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Page 1 of 7

Bare

(Away)
01 Apr
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 0
Bare
21 Mar
Sao Raimundo RR
0 : 1
Bare
17 Mar
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1 : 0
Bare
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
2 Bare 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
3 Monte Roraima 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
4 Sao Raimundo RR 7 4 1 2 15:7 13
5 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Nautico FC 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
7 Atl. Roraima 7 0 3 4 3:20 3
8 Progresso 7 0 2 5 1:19 2
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)