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Progresso vs Monte Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cortez
48' Event
Geovani Silva
90' Event
Germano L.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense game between Progresso and Monte Roraima finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Roraima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Progresso
15%
Draws
34%
Monte Roraima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Progresso haven't matched Monte Roraima's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Monte Roraima taking it.
  • Regular Roraimense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Monte Roraima have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Progresso Clean Sheet 14%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso Monte Roraima
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 16
Draws 3 11
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Roraimense
Progresso vs Monte Roraima
1:2
Mar 18, 2025 Roraimense
Progresso vs Monte Roraima
0:2
Mar 23, 2024 Roraimense
Monte Roraima vs Progresso
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresso Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortez
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Monte Roraima Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovani Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Germano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso 15 / 100
Monte Roraima 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso Monte Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Roraima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Monte Roraima conceded in 74% of 39 recent games.

Monte Roraima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Progresso found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Progresso VS Monte Roraima
0 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Monte Roraima

(Away)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)