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Progresul Corabia vs Juventus Bascov

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010
Fri, May 21, 2010
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Corabia host Juventus Bascov in the Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010. This has Progresul Corabia written all over it on paper. Juventus Bascov have shipped 3.37 goals a game lately, while Progresul Corabia have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Progresul Corabia have won 2 to Juventus Bascov's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 21, 2010, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.31) point toward Progresul Corabia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Progresul Corabia
15%
Draws
0%
Juventus Bascov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Corabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Corabia lately — more wins on the board than Juventus Bascov.
  • Progresul Corabia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Progresul Corabia Clean Sheet 18%
Juventus Bascov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Corabia Juventus Bascov
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.79 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs Juventus Bascov
3:0
Nov 14, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Juventus Bascov vs Progresul Corabia
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Corabia 85 / 100
Juventus Bascov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Corabia Juventus Bascov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Corabia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus Bascov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Juventus Bascov's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Progresul Corabia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Corabia VS Juventus Bascov
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Corabia

(Home)
11 Jun
Albota
3 : 0
Progresul Corabia
05 Jun
Progresul Corabia
4 : 1
Triumf Barca
28 May
Oltchim Ramnicu
0 : 1
Progresul Corabia
21 May
Progresul Corabia
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
14 May
Campionii Arges 2
1 : 3
Progresul Corabia
Page 1 of 6

Juventus Bascov

(Away)
11 Jun
Juventus Bascov
0 : 3
Minerul Motru
04 Jun
Ralbex
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
21 May
Progresul Corabia
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
14 May
Juventus Bascov
0 : 3
CSM Alexandria
11 May
Visina Noua
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olt Slatina 34 23 9 2 75:27 78
2 FCM Targoviste 34 24 4 6 58:20 76
3 Triumf Barca 34 18 5 11 53:37 59
4 Visina Noua 34 17 4 13 45:32 55
5 Oltchim Ramnicu 34 17 4 13 54:51 55
6 Prometeu Craiova 34 14 12 8 44:27 54
7 Campionii Arges 2 34 16 5 13 54:48 53
8 CSM Alexandria 34 13 10 11 39:31 49
9 Albota 34 13 9 12 41:36 48
10 FC Caracal 34 14 6 14 44:42 48
11 Ghecon Lapusata 34 14 6 14 48:44 48
12 Matasari 34 14 5 15 37:40 47
13 Progresul Corabia 34 14 4 16 57:55 46
14 Ralbex 34 12 7 15 44:49 43
15 Minerul Motru 34 12 5 17 72:63 41
16 Armata Craiova 33 7 8 18 30:55 29
17 CS U Craiova 2 34 6 3 25 33:73 21
18 Juventus Bascov 33 3 2 28 12:110 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2010/2011 (Main)