Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Corabia vs Triumf Barca

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Corabia in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Corabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Progresul Corabia
15%
Draws
17%
Triumf Barca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Corabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Corabia lately — more wins on the board than Triumf Barca.
  • Progresul Corabia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Progresul Corabia Clean Sheet 20%
Triumf Barca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Corabia Triumf Barca
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.79 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs Triumf Barca
4:1
Nov 20, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Triumf Barca vs Progresul Corabia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Corabia 85 / 100
Triumf Barca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Corabia Triumf Barca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Corabia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triumf Barca let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Progresul Corabia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Progresul Corabia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Corabia VS Triumf Barca
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Corabia

(Home)
11 Jun
Albota
3 : 0
Progresul Corabia
05 Jun
Progresul Corabia
4 : 1
Triumf Barca
28 May
Oltchim Ramnicu
0 : 1
Progresul Corabia
21 May
Progresul Corabia
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
14 May
Campionii Arges 2
1 : 3
Progresul Corabia
Page 1 of 6

Triumf Barca

(Away)
20 Jul
Recolta Danceu
3 : 1
Triumf Barca
03 Jun
Piatra Olt
6 : 0
Triumf Barca
27 May
Triumf Barca
3 : 0
FC Drobeta-Turnu Severin
20 May
Jiul Rovinari
6 : 0
Triumf Barca
14 May
Triumf Barca
1 : 11
Visina Noua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olt Slatina 34 23 9 2 75:27 78
2 FCM Targoviste 34 24 4 6 58:20 76
3 Triumf Barca 34 18 5 11 53:37 59
4 Visina Noua 34 17 4 13 45:32 55
5 Oltchim Ramnicu 34 17 4 13 54:51 55
6 Prometeu Craiova 34 14 12 8 44:27 54
7 Campionii Arges 2 34 16 5 13 54:48 53
8 CSM Alexandria 34 13 10 11 39:31 49
9 Albota 34 13 9 12 41:36 48
10 FC Caracal 34 14 6 14 44:42 48
11 Ghecon Lapusata 34 14 6 14 48:44 48
12 Matasari 34 14 5 15 37:40 47
13 Progresul Corabia 34 14 4 16 57:55 46
14 Ralbex 34 12 7 15 44:49 43
15 Minerul Motru 34 12 5 17 72:63 41
16 Armata Craiova 33 7 8 18 30:55 29
17 CS U Craiova 2 34 6 3 25 33:73 21
18 Juventus Bascov 33 3 2 28 12:110 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2010/2011 (Main)