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Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Fundulea in this Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Fundulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Progresul Fundulea
15%
Draws
39%
Axiopolis Cernavoda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Progresul Fundulea have won more games recently than Axiopolis Cernavoda.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Progresul Fundulea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Progresul Fundulea have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 18%
Axiopolis Cernavoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Fundulea Axiopolis Cernavoda
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Progresul Fundulea
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Axiopolis Cernavoda
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda vs Progresul Fundulea
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Fundulea 41 / 100
Axiopolis Cernavoda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Fundulea Axiopolis Cernavoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Fundulea found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Axiopolis Cernavoda conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Fundulea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Fundulea VS Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Fundulea

(Home)
05 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1
Otelul 2
28 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
16 May
Agigea
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
09 May
Progresul Fundulea
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
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Axiopolis Cernavoda

(Away)
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
3 : 0
Calarasi
28 Aug
Inainte Modelu
1 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Aug
Axiopolis Cernavoda
1 : 3
Agricola Borcea
29 Jul
Agigea
2 : 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda
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