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Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 game between Progresul Fundulea and Calarasi finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calarasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Progresul Fundulea
15%
Draws
31%
Calarasi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Fundulea come out ahead of Calarasi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Fundulea's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 20%
Calarasi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Fundulea Calarasi
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Calarasi
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Calarasi vs Progresul Fundulea
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Fundulea 85 / 100
Calarasi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Fundulea Calarasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Fundulea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Fundulea found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Calarasi conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Progresul Fundulea stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Fundulea VS Calarasi
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Fundulea

(Home)
28 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
16 May
Agigea
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
09 May
Progresul Fundulea
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
02 May
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 6
Progresul Fundulea
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Calarasi

(Away)
28 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
12 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 3
Afumati
05 Aug
Calarasi
2 : 0
Inainte Modelu
29 Jul
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 3
Calarasi
10 Jul
Metalul Buzau
0 : 0
Calarasi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 22 15 3 4 51:27 48
2 Popesti Leordeni 22 13 6 3 47:17 45
3 Inainte Modelu 22 14 3 5 51:26 45
4 Calarasi 22 12 4 6 37:30 40
5 FCSB 2 22 12 3 7 52:33 39
6 Progresul Fundulea 22 10 1 11 38:30 31
7 Gloria Baneasa 22 9 2 11 44:47 29
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 22 9 0 13 33:44 27
9 Axiopolis Cernavoda 22 7 2 13 31:44 23
10 Agigea 22 7 2 13 26:52 23
11 Din. Bucuresti 2 22 6 1 15 32:52 19
12 Voluntari 2 22 3 3 16 26:66 12
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)