Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Fundulea vs Otelul 2

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Fundulea in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Fundulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Progresul Fundulea
15%
Draws
0%
Otelul 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Fundulea lately — more wins on the board than Otelul 2.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Progresul Fundulea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 20%
Otelul 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Fundulea Otelul 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 2.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 3.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Fundulea vs Otelul 2
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Fundulea 85 / 100
Otelul 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Fundulea Otelul 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Fundulea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Fundulea found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Otelul 2 conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Otelul 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Fundulea VS Otelul 2
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Fundulea

(Home)
19 Sept
Unirea Branistea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
05 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1
Otelul 2
28 Aug
Calarasi
0 : 1
Progresul Fundulea
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

Otelul 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 1
Otelul 2
11 Sept
Otelul 2
0 : 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda
05 Sept
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1
Otelul 2
28 Aug
Otelul 2
0 : 3
Agricola Borcea
16 May
CSO Plopeni
4 : 0
Otelul 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 4 4 0 0 11:4 12
2 Agigea 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
3 Sporting Liesti 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
5 Inainte Modelu 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
6 Unirea Branistea 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
7 Progresul Fundulea 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
9 Portul Constanta 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
10 Calarasi 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
11 Gloria Baneasa 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
12 Otelul 2 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)