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Stadium Background

Progresul Mogosoaia vs Concordia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Saftoiu F.
37'
Munteanu F.
49' Event
Chiritoiu A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Progresul Mogosoaia
20%
Draws
30%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concordia lately — more wins on the board than Progresul Mogosoaia.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Concordia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Concordia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 10%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Mogosoaia Concordia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.41 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Romanian Cup
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Concordia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresul Mogosoaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Saftoiu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carnat N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Mogosoaia 30 / 100
Concordia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Mogosoaia Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Concordia conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Progresul Mogosoaia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Progresul Mogosoaia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Mogosoaia VS Concordia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Mogosoaia

(Home)
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
LPS HD Clinceni
03 Oct
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 1
Progresul Mogosoaia
26 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 3
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
23 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
Progresul Mogosoaia
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3
Din. Bucuresti 2
Page 1 of 6

Concordia

(Away)
10 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
3 : 2
Concordia
02 Oct
Concordia
2 : 3
Steaua Bucuresti
19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1
Metalul Buzau
12 Sept
CS Din. Bucuresti
2 : 5
Concordia
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Unirea Dej 1
Viitorul Cluj 2
TBD -
SCM Zalau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloria Bistrita -
Petrolul Berca 5
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 2
CSO Plopeni 1
Baicoi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metalul Buzau -
Timisul Sag 1
Progresul Pecica 0
Unirea Santana 4
Viitorul Arad 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Resita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
LPS HD Clinceni 0
Urban Titu 1
AS Vointa Crevedia 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Otelul -
Chiesd 1
Sighetu Marmatiei 4
TBD -
Baia Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Satu Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
Selimbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Bihorul Beius 0
Baile Felix 1
Crisul Santandrei 2
Unirea Tasnad 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Bihor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Din. Bucuresti -
Aerostar 3
CSM Vaslui 1
TBD -
Viitorul Onesti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Bacau -
Hidro Mecanica Sugag 0
Metalurgistul Cugir 10
ACS Unirea DMO 0
Jiul Petrosani 4
CSM Caransebes 2
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 1
TBD -
Minerul Lupeni -
Agigea 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda 3
TBD -
Agricola Borcea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Dunarea Giurgiu 3
CSM Alexandria 0
TBD -
Cetatea Turnu Magurele -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 1
Pausesti-Otasau 2
CSM Targu Jiu 3
Farcasesti 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramnicu Valcea -
FC Pucioasa 1
Tricolorul Breaza 0
TBD -
Flacara Moreni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Cetatea Suceava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bradul Putna 9
Bucovina Radauti 0
ACS USV Iasi 1
Stiinta Miroslava 0
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 0
Adjud 3
TBD -
Targu Secuiesc -
Victoria Traian 0
Unirea Branistea 7
TBD -
Sporting Liesti -
Univ. Alba Iulia 3
Blaj 4
Inter Sibiu 0
ACS Medias 2
Sanatatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Alba-Iulia -
Bolintin Vale 3
Adunatii-Copaceni 2
Progresul Spartac 2
Progresul Fundulea 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Gloria Baneasa 1
Calarasi 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0
Inainte Modelu 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afumati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Voluntari -
FC U Craiova 0
CSO Filiasi 5
Curtisoara 1
Academica Bals 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sepsi -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
VSK Gyergyo 1
Odorheiu 0
TBD -
Ceahlaul -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC ASA Tg. Mures -
CSM Corona Brasov 2
ARO Campulung 1
CSM Sacele 3
Kids Tampa Brasov 2
CS Domnesti 3
Unirea Bascov 2
TBD -
Olimpic Zarnesti -
Paulesti 6
Blejoi 2
TBD -
Tunari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stefanesti -
Quarter-finals
Viitorul Cluj 1
SCM Zalau 6
TBD -
Gloria Bistrita -
Petrolul Berca 2
Baicoi 3
TBD -
Metalul Buzau -
Timisul Sag 3
Unirea Santana 2
TBD -
CSM Resita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
AS Vointa Crevedia 0
TBD -
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Otelul -
Sighetu Marmatiei 1
Baia Mare 3
TBD -
CSM Satu Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
Selimbar -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Baile Felix 0
Crisul Santandrei 1
TBD -
FC Bihor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Din. Bucuresti -
Aerostar 0
Viitorul Onesti 1
TBD -
FC Bacau -
Metalurgistul Cugir 0
Jiul Petrosani 1
CSM Caransebes 0
Minerul Lupeni 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda 1
Agricola Borcea 3
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Dunarea Giurgiu 2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Pausesti-Otasau 0
CSM Targu Jiu 2
TBD -
Ramnicu Valcea -
FC Pucioasa 0
Flacara Moreni 7
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Cetatea Suceava -
TBD -
Bradul Putna 1
ACS USV Iasi 2
Adjud 2
Targu Secuiesc 1
Unirea Branistea 2
Sporting Liesti 4
Blaj 2
ACS Medias 1
Sanatatea Cluj 3
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
Bolintin Vale 1
Progresul Spartac 3
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Calarasi 2
Inainte Modelu 0
TBD -
Afumati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Voluntari -
CSO Filiasi 3
Curtisoara 4
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sepsi -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
VSK Gyergyo 5
Ceahlaul 0
TBD -
FC ASA Tg. Mures -
CSM Corona Brasov 3
CSM Sacele 0
CS Domnesti 2
Olimpic Zarnesti 7
Paulesti 0
Tunari 3
TBD -
Stefanesti -
Semi-finals
SCM Zalau 0
Gloria Bistrita 1
Baicoi 2
Metalul Buzau 4
Timisul Sag 1
CSM Resita 3
TBD -
Petrolul -
Progresul Mogosoaia 1
Concordia 4
TBD -
Otelul -
Baia Mare 5
CSM Satu Mare 0
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
Selimbar 3
FC Hermannstadt 0
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Crisul Santandrei 0
FC Bihor 3
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Popesti Leordeni 5
CS Din. Bucuresti 0
Viitorul Onesti 0
FC Bacau 3
Jiul Petrosani 0
Minerul Lupeni 1
Agricola Borcea 1
Unirea Slobozia 4
Dunarea Giurgiu 0
Steaua Bucuresti 3
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
CSM Targu Jiu 0
Ramnicu Valcea 1
Flacara Moreni 1
Chindia Targoviste 2
Cetatea Suceava 0
ACS USV Iasi 1
Adjud 2
Sporting Liesti 4
Blaj 1
Sanatatea Cluj 0
Progresul Spartac 2
Metaloglobus Bucharest 1
Calarasi 0
Afumati 3
TBD -
Voluntari -
Curtisoara 0
CSM Slatina 3
TBD -
Sepsi -
Politehnica Timisoara 1
CSC Dumbravita 0
VSK Gyergyo 0
FC ASA Tg. Mures 2
CSM Corona Brasov 3
Olimpic Zarnesti 1
Tunari 2
Stefanesti 1
Final
Gloria Bistrita 1
Metalul Buzau 0
CSM Resita 2
Petrolul 3
Concordia 5
Otelul 1
Baia Mare 2
Corvinul Hunedoara 3
Selimbar 1
FC Botosani 3
FC Bihor 1
Farul Constanta 0
Popesti Leordeni 0
FC Bacau 3
Minerul Lupeni 1
Unirea Slobozia 0
Steaua Bucuresti 1
Miercurea Ciuc 2
Ramnicu Valcea 1
Chindia Targoviste 2
ACS USV Iasi 1
Sporting Liesti 2
Blaj 1
Progresul Spartac 3
Afumati 0
Voluntari 1
CSM Slatina 0
Sepsi 2
Politehnica Timisoara 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures 1
CSM Corona Brasov 3
Tunari 2