Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Mogosoaia vs CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Mogosoaia in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Mogosoaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Progresul Mogosoaia
20%
Draws
7%
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Mogosoaia have won more games recently than CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Progresul Mogosoaia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Progresul Mogosoaia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 19%
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Mogosoaia CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte vs Progresul Mogosoaia
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte vs Progresul Mogosoaia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Mogosoaia 85 / 100
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Mogosoaia CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Mogosoaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Progresul Mogosoaia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Progresul Mogosoaia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Mogosoaia VS CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Mogosoaia

(Home)
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
12 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 4
Concordia
05 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 0
AS Vointa Crevedia
29 Jul
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 0
LPS HD Clinceni
Page 1 of 6

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte

(Away)
05 Sept
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
1 : 1
ARO Campulung
28 Aug
ACS Medias
3 : 0
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
29 Jul
Petrolul Berca
5 : 2
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
16 May
Kids Tampa Brasov
2 : 0
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
09 May
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 22 16 4 2 53:19 52
2 Stefanesti 22 15 4 3 54:26 49
3 Olimpic Zarnesti 22 12 6 4 59:37 42
4 Urban Titu 22 8 5 9 30:37 29
5 Tricolorul Breaza 22 8 4 10 27:37 28
6 CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 22 7 7 8 26:38 28
7 CSM Sacele 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
8 Baicoi 22 6 7 9 24:33 25
9 Progresul Mogosoaia 22 7 3 12 30:34 24
10 AS Vointa Crevedia 22 6 5 11 24:35 23
11 Kids Tampa Brasov 22 6 5 11 28:40 23
12 FC Pucioasa 22 6 2 14 29:39 20
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)