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Progresul Pecica vs AFC Nera Bogodinti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Pecica host AFC Nera Bogodinti in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. Progresul Pecica are expected to control this from the start. Progresul Pecica have averaged 1.69 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against AFC Nera Bogodinti's 0.38 scored and 2.88 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Progresul Pecica. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Progresul Pecica
15%
Draws
12%
AFC Nera Bogodinti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Pecica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Pecica come out ahead of AFC Nera Bogodinti on wins alone.
  • Model gives Progresul Pecica a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Progresul Pecica Clean Sheet 20%
AFC Nera Bogodinti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Pecica AFC Nera Bogodinti
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 10 0
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.69 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Pecica 85 / 100
AFC Nera Bogodinti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Pecica AFC Nera Bogodinti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Pecica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Pecica's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AFC Nera Bogodinti has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

AFC Nera Bogodinti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Progresul Pecica has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Pecica VS AFC Nera Bogodinti
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Pecica

(Home)
09 Oct
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
5 : 0
Progresul Pecica
03 Oct
Progresul Pecica
2 : 1
Blaj
26 Sept
Unirea Santana
4 : 1
Progresul Pecica
22 Sept
Progresul Pecica
6 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
18 Sept
Timisul Sag
3 : 0
Progresul Pecica
Page 1 of 6

AFC Nera Bogodinti

(Away)
10 Oct
AFC Nera Bogodinti
1 : 4
Viitorul Arad
03 Oct
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 0
Timisul Sag
26 Sept
Unirea Alba-Iulia
10 : 0
AFC Nera Bogodinti
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
2 : 1
AFC Nera Bogodinti
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unirea Alba-Iulia 8 5 2 1 23:4 17
2 Blaj 8 5 2 1 19:13 17
3 Timisul Sag 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
4 Unirea Santana 8 5 0 3 15:6 15
5 CSM Deva 8 4 3 1 20:12 15
6 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 8 3 3 2 13:12 12
7 Viitorul Arad 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Progresul Pecica 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 8 1 3 4 10:14 6
10 Univ. Alba Iulia 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
11 Politehnica Timisoara II 8 1 1 6 9:21 4
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 8 0 2 6 3:23 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)