Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Somcuta Mare vs CSM Satu Mare Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-12, with CSM Satu Mare advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Progresul Somcuta Mare
30%
Draws
35%
CSM Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CSM Satu Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSM Satu Mare a 35% chance of winning this.
  • CSM Satu Mare arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSM Satu Mare, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSM Satu Mare have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Progresul Somcuta Mare Clean Sheet 16%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Somcuta Mare CSM Satu Mare
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2022 Romanian Cup
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs CSM Satu Mare
1:12
May 14, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs CSM Satu Mare
0:2
Apr 16, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
2:1
Mar 26, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
2:0
Oct 23, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs CSM Satu Mare
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Somcuta Mare 10 / 100
CSM Satu Mare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Somcuta Mare CSM Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Satu Mare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Progresul Somcuta Mare found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: CSM Satu Mare conceded in 72% of 47 recent games.

Solid form: Progresul Somcuta Mare remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CSM Satu Mare
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Somcuta Mare

(Home)
17 Aug
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 12
CSM Satu Mare
28 May
SCM Zalau
5 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
0 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
07 May
CFR Cluj II
4 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
Page 1 of 6

CSM Satu Mare

(Away)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Viitorul Darabani 5
Bucovina Radauti 4
TBD -
Dante Botosani -
Somuz Falticeni 2
Ceahlaul 1
TBD -
Foresta Suceava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC UTA Arad -
CSM Resita -
TBD -
Progresul Ezeris 1
Vointa Lupac 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mioveni -
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii -
TBD -
Aurul Brad 2
CS Municipal Lugoj 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ripensia Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC U Craiova -
Flacara Moreni 4
AU Ploiesti 0
TBD -
FC Pucioasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Astra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Afumati -
TBD -
CS Faurei 2
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Bucuresti -
Targu Secuiesc 1
Kids Tampa Brasov 0
TBD -
CSM Focsani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Brasov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
SR Brasov 4
Cetate Rasnov 0
TBD -
Odorheiu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Selimbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
Ocna Mures 3
Unirea Alba-Iulia 1
TBD -
Metalurgistul Cugir -
Viitorul Cluj 9
Ariesul Turda 0
ACS Targu Mures 1898 1
Unirea Ungheni 5
Petrolul Potcoava 4
Sporting Rosiori 3
Vedita Colonesti 1
CSO Filiasi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
Avantul Periam 3
Star Bisnov 2
Frontiera Curtici 0
Progresul Pecica 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
Stiinta Miroslava 2
CSM Pascani 1
Husana Husi -
Sporting Vaslui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poli Iasi -
CSM Alexandria 2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
Real Bradu 0
Unirea Bascov 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Progresul Spartac -
Aerostar 2
Sporting Liesti 0
CSM Bacau 0
Dinamo Bacau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Flacara Horezu 2
Minerul Costesti 0
TBD -
Viitorul Daesti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viitorul Targu Jiu -
Tunari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Bucuresti -
Jiul Petrosani 7
Pandurii 1
Viitorul Simian 0
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 3
Corvinul Hunedoara -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Deva -
Viitorul Ianca 5
Sportul Chiscani 1
TBD -
Braila -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Otelul -
Gloria Bistrita 2
Avantul Reghin 1
Sanatatea Cluj 3
Minerul Ocna Dej 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Dej -
Calarasi -
TBD -
CSM Oltenita 0
Inainte Modelu 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Soimii Lipova 2
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 1
Luceafarul Oradea 2
Chisineu Cris 9
FC Bihor -
TBD -
Crisul Santandrei 1
Baile Felix 2
Blejoi 1
CSO Plopeni 0
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 2
Metalul Buzau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Buzau -
Axiopolis Cernavoda 2
Gloria Albesti 1
CSM Fetesti 0
Agricola Borcea 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Constanta -
CSM Satu Mare 12
Progresul Somcuta Mare 1
SCM Zalau 1
Simleul Silvaniei 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baia Mare -
Quarter-finals
Viitorul Darabani 0
Dante Botosani 3
Somuz Falticeni 1
Foresta Suceava 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC UTA Arad -
CSM Resita 6
Vointa Lupac 0
TBD -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mioveni -
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 4
CS Municipal Lugoj 1
TBD -
Ripensia Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC U Craiova -
Flacara Moreni 6
FC Pucioasa 2
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Popesti Leordeni 6
FC Astra 0
TBD -
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Afumati 4
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Bucuresti -
Targu Secuiesc 3
CSM Focsani 2
TBD -
FC Brasov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
SR Brasov 3
Odorheiu 2
TBD -
Selimbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
Ocna Mures 4
Metalurgistul Cugir 3
Viitorul Cluj 3
Unirea Ungheni 4
Petrolul Potcoava 3
CSO Filiasi 2
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
Avantul Periam 3
Progresul Pecica 1
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
Stiinta Miroslava 5
Sporting Vaslui 0
TBD -
Poli Iasi -
CSM Alexandria 3
Unirea Bascov 0
TBD -
Progresul Spartac -
Aerostar 4
Dinamo Bacau 3
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Flacara Horezu 1
Viitorul Daesti 0
TBD -
Viitorul Targu Jiu -
Tunari -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Bucuresti -
Jiul Petrosani 2
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 0
Corvinul Hunedoara 1
CSM Deva 2
Viitorul Ianca 5
Braila 0
TBD -
Otelul -
Gloria Bistrita 1
Minerul Ocna Dej 0
TBD -
Unirea Dej -
Calarasi 2
Inainte Modelu 1
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Soimii Lipova 6
Chisineu Cris 1
FC Bihor 0
Baile Felix 2
Blejoi 1
Metalul Buzau 0
TBD -
FC Buzau -
Axiopolis Cernavoda 3
Agricola Borcea 1
TBD -
Unirea Constanta -
CSM Satu Mare 2
Simleul Silvaniei 0
TBD -
Baia Mare -
Semi-finals
Dante Botosani 1
Foresta Suceava 2
TBD -
FC UTA Arad -
CSM Resita 2
Politehnica Timisoara 0
TBD -
Mioveni -
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 0
Ripensia Timisoara 2
TBD -
FC U Craiova -
Flacara Moreni 2
Steaua Bucuresti 3
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Popesti Leordeni 0
Concordia 1
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Afumati 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest 0
TBD -
Rapid Bucuresti -
Targu Secuiesc 0
FC Brasov 5
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
SR Brasov 0
Selimbar 3
TBD -
Petrolul -
Ocna Mures 2
Unirea Ungheni 1
Petrolul Potcoava 1
CSM Slatina 3
Avantul Periam 0
CSC Dumbravita 1
Stiinta Miroslava 1
Poli Iasi 3
CSM Alexandria 2
Progresul Spartac 1
Aerostar 0
Miercurea Ciuc 4
Flacara Horezu 2
Viitorul Targu Jiu 3
Tunari 0
Dinamo Bucuresti 3
Jiul Petrosani 3
CSM Deva 0
Viitorul Ianca 1
Otelul 3
Gloria Bistrita 1
Unirea Dej 0
Calarasi 1
Unirea Slobozia 5
Soimii Lipova 3
Baile Felix 1
Blejoi 0
FC Buzau 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda 3
Unirea Constanta 1
CSM Satu Mare 1
Baia Mare 2
Final
Foresta Suceava 0
FC UTA Arad 1
CSM Resita 0
Mioveni 4
Ripensia Timisoara 0
FC U Craiova 4
Steaua Bucuresti 1
Chindia Targoviste 2
Concordia 0
Universitatea Cluj 2
Afumati 0
Rapid Bucuresti 3
FC Brasov 1
FC Hermannstadt 2
Selimbar 0
Petrolul 4
Ocna Mures 3
CSM Slatina 0
CSC Dumbravita 1
Poli Iasi 0
CSM Alexandria 2
Miercurea Ciuc 1
Viitorul Targu Jiu 0
Dinamo Bucuresti 1
Jiul Petrosani 2
Otelul 3
Gloria Bistrita 0
Unirea Slobozia 1
Soimii Lipova 2
FC Buzau 4
Axiopolis Cernavoda 4
Baia Mare 5