Sport Picks
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
Progresul Somcuta Mare in this Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Somcuta Mare.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Somcuta Mare
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Progresul Somcuta Mare lately — more wins on the board than Luceafarul Oradea.
- Model gives Progresul Somcuta Mare a 48% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Progresul Somcuta Mare have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Progresul Somcuta Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Luceafarul Oradea Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progresul Somcuta Mare | Luceafarul Oradea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 19 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 4.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:1
Apr 22, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
0:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Luceafarul Oradea
5:0
Oct 16, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
1:5
Apr 24, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Luceafarul Oradea vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Progresul Somcuta Mare 85 / 100
Luceafarul Oradea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Progresul Somcuta Mare Luceafarul Oradea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progresul Somcuta Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Luceafarul Oradea has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Progresul Somcuta Mare's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Luceafarul Oradea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Progresul Somcuta Mare VS Luceafarul Oradea
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 5.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Progresul Somcuta Mare
(Home) 17 Aug
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 12 CSM Satu Mare
28 May
SCM Zalau
5 : 2 Progresul Somcuta Mare
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1 Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
0 : 2 CSM Satu Mare
07 May
CFR Cluj II
4 : 2 Progresul Somcuta Mare
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 12 CSM Satu Mare
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1 Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
0 : 2 CSM Satu Mare
04 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 2 Simleul Silvaniei
30 Apr
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 3 SCM Zalau
Page 1 of 4
Luceafarul Oradea
(Away) 17 Aug
Luceafarul Oradea
2 : 9 Chisineu Cris
28 May
Luceafarul Oradea
3 : 3 CFR Cluj II
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1 Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Luceafarul Oradea
1 : 1 Simleul Silvaniei
07 May
CSM Satu Mare
6 : 1 Luceafarul Oradea
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1 Luceafarul Oradea
07 May
CSM Satu Mare
6 : 1 Luceafarul Oradea
30 Apr
CFR Cluj II
7 : 0 Luceafarul Oradea
16 Apr
Simleul Silvaniei
3 : 0 Luceafarul Oradea
02 Apr
SCM Zalau
8 : 0 Luceafarul Oradea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baia Mare | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 57:20 | 42 |
| 2 | CA Oradea | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 43:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Somesul Dej | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Baile Felix | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38:23 | 29 |
| 5 | SCM Zalau | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 44:35 | 28 |
| 6 | Simleul Silvaniei | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:31 | 23 |
| 7 | CFR Cluj II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | 21 |
| 8 | CSM Satu Mare | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24:33 | 18 |
| 9 | Progresul Somcuta Mare | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 26:40 | 17 |
| 10 | Luceafarul Oradea | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6:73 | -3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)
