Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Spartac vs Concordia

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jipa A.
11' Event
Carnat N.
33' Event
Jipa A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. This leg finished 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
51%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Concordia have won more games recently than Progresul Spartac.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Concordia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Concordia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Concordia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Concordia
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.23 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Romanian Cup
Progresul Spartac vs Concordia
2:5
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Concordia vs Progresul Spartac
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 2
Concordia vs Progresul Spartac
1:0
Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Concordia vs Progresul Spartac
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Liga 2
Progresul Spartac vs Concordia
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresul Spartac Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirea R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dumitrescu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jipa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carnat N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 30 / 100
Concordia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Concordia let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Progresul Spartac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Concordia
2.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Progresul Spartac
5 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6

Concordia

(Away)
12 Sept
CS Din. Bucuresti
2 : 5
Concordia
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 3
Concordia
22 Aug
Concordia
1 : 5
Politehnica Timisoara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Rapid Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Botosani 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Politehnica Timisoara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Minerul Lupeni 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 CFR Cluj 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Universitatea Cluj 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Petrolul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Miercurea Ciuc 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 FC Bihor 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 CSM Corona Brasov 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Campionii Arges 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Chindia Targoviste 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Sporting Liesti 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)