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Progresul Spartac vs Concordia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jipa A.
11' Event
Carnat N.
33' Event
Jipa A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. This leg finished 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Progresul Spartac
30%
Draws
62%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Concordia have won more games recently than Progresul Spartac.
  • Model gives Concordia a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Concordia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Concordia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Concordia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 15%
Concordia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Concordia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.85 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Romanian Cup
Progresul Spartac vs Concordia
2:5
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Concordia vs Progresul Spartac
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 2
Concordia vs Progresul Spartac
1:0
Feb 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Concordia vs Progresul Spartac
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Liga 2
Progresul Spartac vs Concordia
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresul Spartac Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirea R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dumitrescu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jipa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carnat N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 10 / 100
Concordia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concordia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Progresul Spartac scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Concordia let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Progresul Spartac has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Concordia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
30 Oct
Inter Ilfov
3 : 2
Progresul Spartac
27 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 6
Petrolul
24 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 0
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
16 Oct
Din. Bucuresti 2
2 : 0
Progresul Spartac
10 Oct
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Voluntari 2
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Concordia

(Away)
01 Nov
CSM Slatina
1 : 2
Concordia
29 Oct
Concordia
1 : 1
Sepsi
24 Oct
Unirea Slobozia
2 : 2
Concordia
17 Oct
Concordia
5 : 0
Selimbar
10 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
3 : 2
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Rapid Bucuresti 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 FC Botosani 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Politehnica Timisoara 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
6 Minerul Lupeni 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Concordia 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
3 Petrolul 2 1 0 1 6:1 3
4 CFR Cluj 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
5 Sepsi 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
6 Progresul Spartac 2 0 0 2 2:11 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bihor 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 FCSB 2 1 0 1 5:1 3
3 Miercurea Ciuc 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Gloria Bistrita 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
5 Campionii Arges 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 CSM Corona Brasov 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 2 2 0 0 9:3 6
2 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Voluntari 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 FC Bacau 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
5 Sporting Liesti 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
6 Chindia Targoviste 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)