Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Spartac vs CSM Alexandria

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSM Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Progresul Spartac
20%
Draws
50%
CSM Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Spartac lately — more wins on the board than CSM Alexandria.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on CSM Alexandria taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSM Alexandria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac CSM Alexandria
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.14 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Alexandria
2:3
Dec 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac
3:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Alexandria
0:1
May 9, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 24 / 100
CSM Alexandria 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac CSM Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

CSM Alexandria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Progresul Spartac remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS CSM Alexandria
3.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Progresul Spartac
5 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
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CSM Alexandria

(Away)
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
29 Jul
Dunarea Giurgiu
3 : 0
CSM Alexandria
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