Sport Picks
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 5 
AI Match Summary
Progresul Spartac host CSM Alexandria in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Progresul Spartac have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against CSM Alexandria's 1.62 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor CSM Alexandria slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.63, favoring CSM Alexandria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Progresul Spartac haven't matched CSM Alexandria's recent run of results.
- Model gives CSM Alexandria a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CSM Alexandria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Progresul Spartac | CSM Alexandria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Progresul Spartac's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: CSM Alexandria conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Progresul Spartac has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Progresul Spartac
(Home)CSM Alexandria
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 25 |
| 2 | Inter Ilfov | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:16 | 23 |
| 3 | SCM Dunarea Giurgiu | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 4 | CSM Alexandria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 6 | Adunatii-Copaceni | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 9:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 12 |
| 8 | Din. Bucuresti 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Voluntari 2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | FCSB 2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:30 | 10 |
| 11 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Progresul Spartac | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:16 | 7 |
