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Progresul Spartac vs CSM Oltenita Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

Progresul Spartac in this Liga 3 - Seria 2 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Spartac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
21%
CSM Oltenita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Spartac have won more games recently than CSM Oltenita.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Progresul Spartac here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Oltenita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac CSM Oltenita
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.96 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Oltenita
1:0
Sep 29, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Oltenita vs Progresul Spartac
1:2
Mar 28, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Oltenita vs Progresul Spartac
0:0
Aug 26, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Oltenita
6:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 85 / 100
CSM Oltenita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac CSM Oltenita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSM Oltenita conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

CSM Oltenita lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
02 Oct
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
Progresul Spartac
26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
Page 1 of 6

CSM Oltenita

(Away)
17 Aug
CSM Oltenita
0 : 1
Inainte Modelu
28 May
CSM Oltenita
2 : 3
Inainte Modelu
21 May
CSM Fetesti
1 : 1
CSM Oltenita
14 May
CSM Oltenita
1 : 3
Voluntari 2
07 May
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3 : 1
CSM Oltenita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Bucuresti 28 24 3 1 97:18 75
2 Afumati 28 20 4 4 76:26 64
3 Progresul Spartac 28 19 3 6 64:26 60
4 Unirea Slobozia 28 19 3 6 68:35 60
5 Popesti Leordeni 28 15 3 10 55:39 48
6 Tunari 28 11 10 7 57:31 43
7 Inainte Modelu 28 11 3 14 45:54 36
8 CS Faurei 28 10 5 13 35:59 35
9 Axiopolis Cernavoda 28 8 9 11 36:51 33
10 Medgidia 28 9 5 14 33:60 32
11 FCSB 2 28 9 3 16 52:61 30
12 Agricola Borcea 28 9 3 16 47:84 30
13 Sportul Chiscani 28 8 4 16 51:66 28
14 CSM Oltenita 28 6 6 16 31:61 24
15 Dobrogea Tulcea 28 0 0 28 4:80 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2019/2020 (Main)