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Progresul Spartac vs CSO Filiasi

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between Progresul Spartac and CSO Filiasi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSO Filiasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
64%
CSO Filiasi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSO Filiasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Spartac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CSO Filiasi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Progresul Spartac have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%
CSO Filiasi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac CSO Filiasi
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.19 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSO Filiasi
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSO Filiasi
6:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSO Filiasi vs Progresul Spartac
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 10 / 100
CSO Filiasi 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac CSO Filiasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSO Filiasi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSO Filiasi has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Progresul Spartac found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Progresul Spartac stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS CSO Filiasi
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1
Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Progresul Spartac
5 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
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CSO Filiasi

(Away)
19 Sept
Curtisoara
1 : 3
CSO Filiasi
11 Sept
CSO Filiasi
4 : 2
Farcasesti
04 Sept
CSM Targu Jiu
3 : 1
CSO Filiasi
28 Aug
CSO Filiasi
2 : 1
Jiul Petrosani
05 Aug
CSO Filiasi
3 : 4
Curtisoara
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