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Progresul Spartac vs Nanov

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between Progresul Spartac and Nanov finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progresul Spartac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
18%
Nanov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Spartac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Progresul Spartac have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 68%
Nanov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Nanov
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 15 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.15 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Nanov vs Progresul Spartac
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Nanov
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Nanov vs Progresul Spartac
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 95 / 100
Nanov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Nanov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Progresul Spartac scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Nanov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Progresul Spartac stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Nanov
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
12 Aug
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest
05 Aug
Bolintin Vale
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
15 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 8
Progresul Spartac
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Nanov

(Away)
15 May
Nanov
2 : 2
CSM Alexandria
01 May
CSO Filiasi
3 : 1
Nanov
25 Apr
Nanov
2 : 1
Adunatii-Copaceni
17 Apr
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
6 : 0
Nanov
10 Apr
Nanov
0 : 2
Progresul Spartac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)