Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Progresul Spartac vs Omega Sport

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Spartac host Omega Sport in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Progresul Spartac have averaged 2.21 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Omega Sport's 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.57 xG vs 0.96) point toward Omega Sport. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
56%
Omega Sport
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Omega Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Spartac lately — more wins on the board than Omega Sport.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 20%
Omega Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Omega Sport
Matches Played 28 3
Wins 14 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 0
Goals Scored 2.21 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 36 / 100
Omega Sport 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Omega Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omega Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Omega Sport conceded in 67% of 3 recent games.

Progresul Spartac went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Omega Sport
2.75 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.4
88% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 20%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Progresul Spartac
5 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6

Omega Sport

(Away)
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
Oxigen Bucuresti
1 : 2
Omega Sport
29 Aug
Omega Sport
1 : 1
LPS HD Clinceni

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adunatii-Copaceni 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Progresul Mogosoaia 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Omega Sport 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Din. Bucuresti 2 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
6 LPS HD Clinceni 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 CSM Alexandria 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 3 1 0 2 9:3 3
9 Progresul Spartac 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
11 Voluntari 2 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
12 FCSB 2 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)