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Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Stadionul Progresul Spartac, Bucharest
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Match Events

28' Event
Leescu R.
32' Event
Bran Flores A. J.
42'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-6. The second leg ended 0-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Progresul Spartac
20%
Draws
70%
Petrolul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrolul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Petrolul come out ahead of Progresul Spartac on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Petrolul's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Petrolul arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Petrolul, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 14%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Petrolul
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.78 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Romanian Cup
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul
0:6
Feb 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Petrolul vs Progresul Spartac
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresul Spartac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Petrolul Compare

Top Goalscorer Leescu R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Paraschiv D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 10 / 100
Petrolul 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Petrolul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Progresul Spartac scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Petrolul has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Progresul Spartac has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Petrolul
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
27 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 6
Petrolul
24 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 0
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
16 Oct
Din. Bucuresti 2
2 : 0
Progresul Spartac
10 Oct
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Voluntari 2
02 Oct
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 1
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 7

Petrolul

(Away)
27 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 6
Petrolul
23 Oct
FC Botosani
1 : 3
Petrolul
17 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
Sepsi
11 Oct
Farul Constanta
3 : 1
Petrolul
03 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
1 : 0
Petrolul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Rapid Bucuresti 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 FC Botosani 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Politehnica Timisoara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Minerul Lupeni 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 CFR Cluj 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Petrolul 2 1 0 1 6:1 3
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 2 0 0 2 2:11 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bihor 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Miercurea Ciuc 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 CSM Corona Brasov 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Campionii Arges 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Chindia Targoviste 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Sporting Liesti 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)