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Progresul Spartac vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 game between Progresul Spartac and Progresul Mogosoaia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progresul Mogosoaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Progresul Spartac
15%
Draws
53%
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Spartac come out ahead of Progresul Mogosoaia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 12%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Progresul Mogosoaia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Progresul Mogosoaia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 40 / 100
Progresul Mogosoaia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Progresul Mogosoaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Progresul Mogosoaia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Progresul Spartac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Progresul Mogosoaia
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Progresul Spartac
5 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
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Progresul Mogosoaia

(Away)
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
12 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 4
Concordia
05 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
3 : 0
AS Vointa Crevedia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adunatii-Copaceni 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Progresul Mogosoaia 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Omega Sport 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Din. Bucuresti 2 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
6 LPS HD Clinceni 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 CSM Alexandria 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 3 1 0 2 9:3 3
9 Progresul Spartac 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
10 Oxigen Bucuresti 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
11 Voluntari 2 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
12 FCSB 2 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)