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Progresul Spartac vs Progresul Mogosoaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 game between Progresul Spartac and Progresul Mogosoaia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progresul Mogosoaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Progresul Spartac
20%
Draws
70%
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Mogosoaia come out ahead of Progresul Spartac on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Mogosoaia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 11%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Spartac Progresul Mogosoaia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Progresul Mogosoaia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Spartac 18 / 100
Progresul Mogosoaia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Spartac Progresul Mogosoaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Mogosoaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Progresul Mogosoaia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Progresul Spartac has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Progresul Spartac VS Progresul Mogosoaia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresul Spartac

(Home)
30 Oct
Inter Ilfov
3 : 2
Progresul Spartac
27 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 6
Petrolul
24 Oct
Progresul Spartac
0 : 0
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
16 Oct
Din. Bucuresti 2
2 : 0
Progresul Spartac
10 Oct
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Voluntari 2
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Progresul Mogosoaia

(Away)
30 Oct
Adunatii-Copaceni
2 : 0
Progresul Mogosoaia
24 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
4 : 2
Oxigen Bucuresti
16 Oct
FCSB 2
5 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
Inter Ilfov
03 Oct
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 1
Progresul Mogosoaia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 12 7 5 0 31:18 26
2 Omega Sport 11 7 4 0 15:7 25
3 Inter Ilfov 11 7 2 2 28:16 23
4 CSM Alexandria 11 6 3 2 16:10 21
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 11 4 3 4 17:21 15
6 Adunatii-Copaceni 12 5 0 7 9:18 15
7 Voluntari 2 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
8 FCSB 2 12 4 1 7 25:30 13
9 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 12 2 6 4 23:19 12
10 Din. Bucuresti 2 12 4 0 8 14:23 12
11 Oxigen Bucuresti 11 3 1 7 14:23 10
12 Progresul Spartac 11 2 1 8 12:16 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)