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Propria vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Propria and Forca Jovem Aquidaba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Propria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Propria
30%
Draws
35%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Forca Jovem Aquidaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Propria are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Propria have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Propria Clean Sheet 16%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Propria Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Matches Played 16 24
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Sergipano 3
Propria vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Propria vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Sergipano 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Propria
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Propria 75 / 100
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Propria Forca Jovem Aquidaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Propria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forca Jovem Aquidaba let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Propria's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Propria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Propria VS Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Propria

(Home)
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
05 Oct
Propria
1 : 1
Socorrense
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Propria
27 Sept
Propria
1 : 1
Socorro
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Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)