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Propria vs Socorrense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Propria
35%
Draws
37%
Socorrense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Socorrense lately — more wins on the board than Propria.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Socorrense taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Propria Clean Sheet 10%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Propria Socorrense
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.44 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Sergipano 3
Propria vs Socorrense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Propria 22 / 100
Socorrense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Propria Socorrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorrense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorrense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Propria's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Propria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Propria VS Socorrense
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Propria

(Home)
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
05 Oct
Propria
1 : 1
Socorrense
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Propria
27 Sept
Propria
1 : 1
Socorro
Page 1 of 4

Socorrense

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Sete de Junho
1 : 4
Socorrense
16 Oct
Socorrense
1 : 1
Sete de Junho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)