Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Provadia vs Chernomorets Balchik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Provadia
15%
Draws
69%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Chernomorets Balchik have won more games recently than Provadia.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets Balchik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Provadia Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 26
Draws 1 5
Losses 25 0
Goals Scored 1 2.9
Goals Conceded 3.63 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:6
Nov 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia
8:2
May 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia
1:2
Nov 17, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:1
Apr 21, 2013 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Provadia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 10 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Chernomorets Balchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Provadia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chernomorets Balchik has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Provadia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chernomorets Balchik
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Chernomorets Balchik

(Away)
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Aksakovo
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