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Stadium Background

Provadia vs Chernomorets Byala

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Provadia in this Third League - North-East 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Provadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Provadia
15%
Draws
0%
Chernomorets Byala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Chernomorets Byala have won more games recently than Provadia.
  • Win probability leans Chernomorets Byala's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Provadia Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Byala Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Chernomorets Byala
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 25 21
Goals Scored 1.13 1.06
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Byala
2:1
Sep 20, 2014 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Byala vs Provadia
3:1
Apr 18, 2014 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Byala
1:0
Oct 6, 2013 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Byala vs Provadia
4:0
Jun 2, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Chernomorets Byala
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 14 / 100
Chernomorets Byala 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Chernomorets Byala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Byala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Chernomorets Byala has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Provadia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Chernomorets Byala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Provadia VS Chernomorets Byala
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Chernomorets Byala

(Away)
24 May
Chernomorets Byala
0 : 3
FK Ticha
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 1
Chernomorets Byala
16 May
Chernomorets Byala
0 : 1
Suvorovo
12 May
Dve Mogili
3 : 0
Chernomorets Byala
10 May
Svetkavitsa
4 : 1
Chernomorets Byala
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