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Provadia vs Himik Devnya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2012/2013 game between Provadia and Himik Devnya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Provadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Provadia
15%
Draws
59%
Himik Devnya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Himik Devnya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Provadia haven't matched Himik Devnya's recent run of results.
  • Himik Devnya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Provadia Clean Sheet 19%
Himik Devnya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Himik Devnya
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 7 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 26 19
Goals Scored 1.15 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Himik Devnya
3:0
Sep 23, 2012 Third League - North-East
Himik Devnya vs Provadia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 10 / 100
Himik Devnya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Himik Devnya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Himik Devnya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Provadia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Himik Devnya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Provadia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Himik Devnya
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
Page 1 of 7

Himik Devnya

(Away)
22 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
15 May
Kaliakra
7 : 0
Himik Devnya
05 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Benkovski Byala
30 Apr
Marisan
1 : 0
Himik Devnya
24 Apr
Himik Devnya
0 : 0
Kubrat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 28 25 3 0 82:8 78
2 Dunav Ruse 28 24 2 2 86:15 74
3 Belitsa 28 16 3 9 57:32 51
4 Kubrat 28 14 8 6 38:19 50
5 Suvorovo 28 15 5 8 48:35 50
6 Septemvri Tervel 28 12 6 10 39:33 42
7 Chernomorets Balchik 28 11 8 9 37:31 41
8 Benkovski Byala 28 11 6 11 37:46 39
9 Dve Mogili 28 11 2 15 33:58 35
10 Silistra 2009 28 9 6 13 32:31 33
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 28:36 31
12 Preslav 28 6 6 16 37:76 24
13 Provadia 28 6 2 20 24:57 20
14 Ariston Ruse 27 4 5 18 22:52 17
15 Himik Devnya 27 2 1 24 5:76 7
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)