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Stadium Background

Provadia vs Silistra 2009

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2012/2013 game between Provadia and Silistra 2009 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Provadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Provadia
15%
Draws
0%
Silistra 2009
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Silistra 2009 come out ahead of Provadia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Provadia Clean Sheet 10%
Silistra 2009 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Silistra 2009
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 3.53 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Silistra 2009
3:0
Sep 7, 2013 Third League - North-East
Silistra 2009 vs Provadia
4:0
May 19, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Silistra 2009
2:1
Nov 11, 2012 Third League - North-East
Silistra 2009 vs Provadia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 29 / 100
Silistra 2009 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Silistra 2009

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Provadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Silistra 2009 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Provadia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Silistra 2009 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Provadia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
Page 1 of 7

Silistra 2009

(Away)
31 May
Svetkavitsa
3 : 0
Silistra 2009
23 May
Silistra 2009
0 : 3
Septemvri Tervel
18 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 0
Silistra 2009
14 May
Silistra 2009
0 : 3
FK Ticha
11 May
Silistra 2009
0 : 3
Benkovski Byala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 28 25 3 0 82:8 78
2 Dunav Ruse 28 24 2 2 86:15 74
3 Belitsa 28 16 3 9 57:32 51
4 Kubrat 28 14 8 6 38:19 50
5 Suvorovo 28 15 5 8 48:35 50
6 Septemvri Tervel 28 12 6 10 39:33 42
7 Chernomorets Balchik 28 11 8 9 37:31 41
8 Benkovski Byala 28 11 6 11 37:46 39
9 Dve Mogili 28 11 2 15 33:58 35
10 Silistra 2009 28 9 6 13 32:31 33
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 28:36 31
12 Preslav 28 6 6 16 37:76 24
13 Provadia 28 6 2 20 24:57 20
14 Ariston Ruse 27 4 5 18 22:52 17
15 Himik Devnya 27 2 1 24 5:76 7
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)