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Provadia vs Svetkavitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2013/2014 game between Provadia and Svetkavitsa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Provadia
15%
Draws
0%
Svetkavitsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Provadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Svetkavitsa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Provadia Clean Sheet 20%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provadia Svetkavitsa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 25 29
Goals Scored 1 0.47
Goals Conceded 3.63 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Svetkavitsa
1:5
Aug 24, 2014 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Provadia
4:0
Apr 13, 2014 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Provadia
5:0
Sep 29, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Svetkavitsa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provadia 31 / 100
Svetkavitsa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provadia Svetkavitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Provadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svetkavitsa let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Svetkavitsa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Provadia scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Svetkavitsa
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 5.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Provadia

(Home)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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Svetkavitsa

(Away)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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