Sport Picks
Provincial Ovalle vs Brujas Salamanca
Chile
Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Diaguita 
AI Match Summary
Provincial Ovalle play Brujas Salamanca in the Segunda Division 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Provincial Ovalle averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Brujas Salamanca averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Provincial Ovalle won 0, Brujas Salamanca won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.69 for Brujas Salamanca. This points to a Brujas Salamanca double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Provincial Ovalle picked up more points recently compared to Brujas Salamanca.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Provincial Ovalle | Brujas Salamanca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Provincial Ovalle Compare
Brujas Salamanca Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Provincial Ovalle scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Brujas Salamanca let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Provincial Ovalle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Brujas Salamanca lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Puerto Montt | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 54:17 | 54 |
| 2 | Linares Unido | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 45 |
| 3 | Brujas Salamanca | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 33:27 | 39 |
| 4 | Osorno | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 49:34 | 36 |
| 5 | Provincial Ovalle | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 36 |
| 6 | Concon National | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 44:36 | 33 |
| 7 | General Velasquez | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:36 | 32 |
| 8 | Trasandino | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 34:42 | 28 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquin | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 22:43 | 22 |
| 10 | Santiago City | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 35:58 | 20 |
| 11 | Deportes Rengo | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 22:52 | 18 |
| 12 | Melipilla | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:33 | -14 |
| 13 | San Antonio Unido | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 48:49 | -27 |