Sport Picks

Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Diaguita

Provincial Ovalle

1 - 1

Trasandino

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Quinones J.

37'

Sotomayor J.

40'

Sub

Flores Secal K. In: Gonzalez V.

Out: Flores Secal K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Provincial Ovalle and Trasandino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Provincial Ovalle

17%

Draws

70%

Trasandino

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Trasandino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Trasandino come out ahead of Provincial Ovalle on wins alone.
Model gives Trasandino a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Provincial Ovalle Clean Sheet 16%

Trasandino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Provincial Ovalle	Trasandino
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	6	4
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Segunda Division

Provincial Ovalle vs Trasandino

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda Division

Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

4:2

Nov 29, 2025 Segunda Division

Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Jun 21, 2025 Segunda Division

Provincial Ovalle vs Trasandino

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 4, 2024 Segunda Division

Provincial Ovalle vs Trasandino

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Provincial Ovalle Compare

Top Goalscorer Duma C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Trasandino Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial Ovalle 15 / 100

Trasandino 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Provincial Ovalle Trasandino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trasandino let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Provincial Ovalle's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Provincial Ovalle remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Provincial Ovalle VS Trasandino

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brujas Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	22
2	Concon National	12	6	3	3	16:10	21
3	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	20
4	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	18
5	Real San Joaquin	12	3	4	5	16:17	13
6	Atletico Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	12
7	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	24
2	Colchagua CD	12	6	4	2	15:11	22
3	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	19
4	General Velasquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	16
5	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	13
6	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	11
7	S. Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	10