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Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Provincial and Deportivo Metalurgico finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Metalurgico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Provincial
20%
Draws
80%
Deportivo Metalurgico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Metalurgico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Metalurgico come out ahead of Provincial on wins alone.
  • Model gives Deportivo Metalurgico a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provincial Deportivo Metalurgico
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.87 2
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico
0:5
Jun 7, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Provincial
2:0
Sep 11, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Provincial
4:1
Sep 3, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Provincial
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial 10 / 100
Deportivo Metalurgico 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provincial Deportivo Metalurgico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Metalurgico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Provincial's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Deportivo Metalurgico has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Deportivo Metalurgico's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Provincial VS Deportivo Metalurgico
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Provincial

(Home)
05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1
Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4
Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0
Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0
Provincial
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Metalurgico

(Away)
05 Oct
Social Atletico Television
3 : 2
Deportivo Metalurgico
29 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 1
Social Atletico Television
18 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Ezeiza
14 Sept
Ezeiza
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
07 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
2 : 2
Atletico Pilar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)