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Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Provincial host Deportivo Metalurgico in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Provincial have averaged 0.88 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Deportivo Metalurgico's 1.63 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Provincial have won 2 to Deportivo Metalurgico's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.88, favoring Deportivo Metalurgico. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Provincial
39%
Draws
30%
Deportivo Metalurgico
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Metalurgico come out ahead of Provincial on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provincial Deportivo Metalurgico
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Provincial
2:0
Sep 11, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Provincial
4:1
Sep 3, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Provincial
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provincial 30 / 100
Deportivo Metalurgico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provincial Deportivo Metalurgico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Provincial scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Metalurgico has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Provincial stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Provincial VS Deportivo Metalurgico
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Ezeiza83327:712
5Belgrano Zarate82424:410
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108