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Provo vs Mokra Gora

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018 game between Provo and Mokra Gora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Provo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Provo
20%
Draws
0%
Mokra Gora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Provo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Provo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Provo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Provo Clean Sheet 20%
Mokra Gora Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Provo Mokra Gora
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.06 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Provo vs Mokra Gora
1:0
Oct 27, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Mokra Gora vs Provo
3:0
Jun 3, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Provo vs Mokra Gora
1:0
Nov 11, 2017 Srpska Liga - West
Mokra Gora vs Provo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Provo 67 / 100
Mokra Gora 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Provo Mokra Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Provo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mokra Gora's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mokra Gora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 18 matches.

Provo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Provo's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mokra Gora
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Provo

(Home)
09 Jun
Provo
1 : 1
Loznica
02 Jun
Sloga Pozega
2 : 0
Provo
26 May
Provo
4 : 1
FAP
18 May
Buducnost Krusik
0 : 0
Provo
12 May
Provo
1 : 0
Mokra Gora
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Mokra Gora

(Away)
02 Sept
Mokra Gora
0 : 1
FAP
29 Oct
Mokra Gora
0 : 2
Spartak Subotica
07 Mar
Trepca
2 : 0
Mokra Gora
24 Nov
Susica
2 : 1
Mokra Gora
16 Nov
Mokra Gora
0 : 2
Sloga Kraljevo
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