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Pruszkow vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 2
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pruszkow host Stal Stalowa Wola in the Division 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Stal Stalowa Wola have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Pruszkow have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.89. Past meetings favor Stal Stalowa Wola slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2025, ending 0:5. xG projections (2.44 - 1.38) back Pruszkow to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Pruszkow
20%
Draws
19%
Stal Stalowa Wola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pruszkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pruszkow lately — more wins on the board than Stal Stalowa Wola.
  • Pruszkow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pruszkow Clean Sheet 17%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pruszkow Stal Stalowa Wola
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pruszkow
0:5
Nov 2, 2024 Division 1
Pruszkow vs Stal Stalowa Wola
0:1
Sep 27, 2023 Polish Cup
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pruszkow
2:0
Feb 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Pruszkow vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1:0
Nov 23, 2019 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Pruszkow
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pruszkow 84 / 100
Stal Stalowa Wola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pruszkow Stal Stalowa Wola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pruszkow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pruszkow found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Pruszkow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Stal Stalowa Wola has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pruszkow VS Stal Stalowa Wola
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pruszkow

(Home)
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
Pruszkow
1 : 1
Tychy
06 Sept
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Hutnik Krakow
02 Sept
Pruszkow
2 : 1
Cracovia
29 Aug
Slask Wroclaw II
2 : 3
Pruszkow
Page 1 of 6

Stal Stalowa Wola

(Away)
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0
R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Hutnik Krakow
2 : 1
Stal Stalowa Wola
21 Aug
Chojniczanka
2 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 9 6 2 1 19:10 20
2 Leczna 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
3 Tychy 9 4 5 0 12:6 17
4 Zawisza 9 4 4 1 16:11 16
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Hutnik Krakow 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
8 Chojniczanka 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
9 Podhale Nowy Targ 9 4 2 3 18:17 14
10 Zielona Gora 9 3 3 3 17:15 12
11 Ol. Grudziadz 9 3 3 3 11:15 12
12 Stal Stalowa Wola 9 3 1 5 14:17 10
13 Avia Swidnik 9 3 1 5 12:16 10
14 Legia II 9 3 0 6 18:17 9
15 Slask Wroclaw II 9 3 0 6 15:17 9
16 Kleczew 9 1 5 3 10:21 8
17 Swit Szczecin 9 1 2 6 9:23 5
18 R. Rzeszow 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)