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Stadium Background

PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Cendrawasih Stadium, Biak
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Wakaso A. In: Wahyudi R.
Out: Wakaso A.
20'
Hwang Myung-Hyun
28'
Froese K.

AI Match Summary

Semen Padang in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Semen Padang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
15%
Draws
85%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Semen Padang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Semen Padang lately — more wins on the board than PSBS Biak Numfor.
  • Semen Padang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSBS Biak Numfor Semen Padang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.83 0.66
Goals Conceded 3.24 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang
0:2
Sep 11, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
1:1
Oct 18, 2024 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang
3:2
Mar 9, 2024 Championship
Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSBS Biak Numfor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Semen Padang Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillermo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
Semen Padang 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSBS Biak Numfor Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Semen Padang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Semen Padang has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Semen Padang registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

PSBS Biak Numfor found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

PSBS Biak Numfor VS Semen Padang
0.25 Goals Scored 0.13
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Home)
20 Sept
Persis Solo
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Sept
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Deltras Sidoarjo
23 May
FC Bhayangkara
7 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
15 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
2 : 5
Arema FC
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Dewa United
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Semen Padang

(Away)
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3
Persik Kediri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)