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Stadium Background

Rennes vs PSG

France France

Ligue 1 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Szymanski S.
Assist: Thomasson A.
21'
Doue D.
38' Event
Lepaul E.
Assist: Frankowski P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Rennes
35%
Draws
49%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSG lately — more wins on the board than Rennes.
  • Rennes are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Rennes Clean Sheet 14%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rennes PSG
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs PSG
2:2
Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Rennes vs PSG
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Rennes
5:0
Mar 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Rennes vs PSG
1:4
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 1
PSG vs Rennes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymanski S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lepaul E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

PSG Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rennes 35 / 100
PSG 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rennes PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rennes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: PSG conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Rennes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rennes VS PSG
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rennes

(Home)
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
15 Aug
Sunderland
2 : 1
Rennes
08 Aug
Rennes
2 : 4
Brentford
08 Aug
Rennes
1 : 2
Brentford U21
02 Aug
Galatasaray
3 : 3
Rennes
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PSG

(Away)
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2
PSG
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0
PSG
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1
Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1
Manchester United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lille 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Lyon 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Troyes 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Marseille 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Lens 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
6 Monaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Angers 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
9 PSG 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
10 Brest 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
11 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 Rennes 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 Nice 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Le Havre 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Lorient 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Toulouse 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
18 Auxerre 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)