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PSG vs Troyes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Parc des Princes, Paris
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSG host Troyes in the Ligue 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. PSG have averaged 2.29 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Troyes's 1.74 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, PSG have won 4 to Troyes's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 7, 2023, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 0.94, favoring PSG. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
PSG
20%
Draws
9%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • PSG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives PSG a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PSG have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
PSG Clean Sheet 68%
Troyes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSG Troyes
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.29 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Ligue 1
Troyes vs PSG
1:3
Oct 29, 2022 Ligue 1
PSG vs Troyes
4:3
May 8, 2022 Ligue 1
PSG vs Troyes
2:2
Aug 7, 2021 Ligue 1
Troyes vs PSG
1:2
Mar 3, 2018 Ligue 1
Troyes vs PSG
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSG 95 / 100
Troyes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSG Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSG's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: PSG remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Troyes let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

PSG VS Troyes
3 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSG

(Home)
30 Oct
Le Havre
1 : 5
PSG
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
20 Oct
PSG
4 : 2
Barcelona
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3
PSG
14 Oct
Manchester City
2 : 4
PSG
Page 1 of 7

Troyes

(Away)
25 Oct
Toulouse
0 : 0
Troyes
17 Oct
Troyes
1 : 3
Lens
11 Oct
Troyes
0 : 2
Marseille
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
4 Monaco 8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5 Lyon 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Paris FC 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
8 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
9 Marseille 8 4 0 4 18:13 12
10 Lorient 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
11 Toulouse 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Auxerre 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13 Brest 8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14 Angers 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15 Le Mans 8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16 Strasbourg 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17 Troyes 8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)